High Impact / Low Probability Analysis
Chapter: Chapter 8 — Tools, Techniques & Practices
ACT/GTM: ACT
Command: /redteam futures
Summary
Section titled “Summary”Tail risks — unlikely but catastrophic scenarios.
When to use
Section titled “When to use”30 min; risk registers ignore low-probability catastrophes.
Method
Section titled “Method”List HILP events → assess impact → decide hedge vs accept vs monitor.
RedTeam notes
Section titled “RedTeam notes”Category: strategic. RedTeam may extend or alias this technique.
Related
Section titled “Related”Lineage
Section titled “Lineage”Part of The Red Team Handbook, Version 10, maintained by Curate Labs — successor to the defunct UFMCS v9.0 work. See SOURCE.md and NOTICE.md.